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Prediction for CME (2022-06-04T03:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-06-04T03:48Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/20415/-1
CME Note: Visible in the NE of SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and the north of STEREO A COR2. Source is a filament eruption centered around N40E25 as seen from SDO AIA 191 and 304 imagery at 2022-06-04T02:00Z. The eruption can also be seen north of center disk from STEREO A EUVI 195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-06-07T18:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:

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A filament erupted in the northern hemisphere, leading to a CME mostly directed to the north. This CME will most likely miss the Earth, but a glancing blow cannot be discarded on 7-8 July.

Lead Time: 54.28 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mary Aronne (M2M Office) on 2022-06-05T11:43Z

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